The NBA's viewership landscape is undergoing a dramatic shift, and it's not all slam dunks. While the league is experiencing record-breaking success on a national level, with opening night viewership soaring to its highest in 15 years, a different story is unfolding at the local level. But here's where it gets controversial: local mid-season games have seen a 9% decrease in viewership. What's going on?
This shift is primarily driven by the evolving habits of viewers, as discussed by Dave Dembowski, chief revenue officer at Operaive. The core issue? A significant transition from traditional linear television to streaming platforms. The numbers are staggering; between September and March, approximately 2.7 million pay-TV subscribers cut the cord.
So, how can the NBA, and other sports leagues, capitalize on this change? The answer lies in streaming, but it's not as simple as it sounds. With a multitude of options available, from regional sports networks (RSNs) to direct FAST (free ad-supported streaming TV) options and apps like FanDuel, the path to attracting and retaining viewers is complex.
One promising strategy is what Dembowski calls "linear streaming." This approach combines the predictability of traditional TV with the digital advantages of interactivity, flexibility, and data-driven targeting. This allows media companies and teams to leverage upfront sales for guaranteed revenue while using digital technology to optimize campaigns and reach specific audiences.
And this is the part most people miss: Linear streaming offers advertisers the ability to pay premium prices for the best inventory while also giving them more agility to make real-time changes. Imagine a brand sponsoring a star player and wanting their ads to appear during key moments of a game. Linear streaming makes this possible, offering both the security of a contract and the flexibility of digital delivery.
But the transition isn't just about monetization; it's also about delivering a compelling experience that attracts and retains fans. Some markets thrive with beloved stars and national audiences, while others struggle to maintain fan interest. Shaky agreements with RSNs are also hurting viewership. For example, Chicago fans faced a blackout on Comcast this past season, and other markets are still negotiating.
Teams are now exploring alternatives like Victory+, a FAST app that offers a direct connection to fans. With new trends like behind-the-scenes content, social media engagement, and star-specific fan bases growing, teams are becoming more creative in engaging fans.
The question is, what does the future hold? In 2026, every team will be experimenting with different models, including subscription versus advertising, FAST partnerships versus large linear/streaming hybrid deals, and more. The shift from linear to streaming is happening, but it's not a simple one-for-one exchange.
Franchises and media companies face the challenge of attracting the same audiences that linear enjoyed for decades. With more choices than ever, viewers will need to see the value in content and the viewing experience to embrace a specific FAST app or invest in a season pass. Where audiences go, brands follow. The platforms that attract the most engaged and loyal viewers will have the best chance of capturing advertising spend.
What do you think? Are you a fan of the new streaming options, or do you miss the traditional TV experience? Share your thoughts in the comments below!