WNBA Preview: Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury - Who Will Win? (2026)

The WNBA's Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury are set to face off in a highly anticipated rematch, with the Sun aiming to continue their recent surge in form. The Sun's recent success, marked by a 96-83 victory over the Mercury on Friday, has seen them climb to 14th place in the league standings. This win was a testament to their resilience and team chemistry, as they dominated the rebounding battle and shot an impressive 52% from the floor. The Sun's recent form has been a sight to behold, with a 5-3 record in their last eight games, and they are now 14-11 against the spread this season. Their ability to consistently go over the game total in 14 of their 25 games further cements their offensive prowess. The Sun's star players, including the probable Brittney Griner and the questionable Aneesah Morrow, have been instrumental in their recent success. Griner's averages of 13.8 points and 5.7 rebounds per game, coupled with Morrow's 10.5 points and 9.4 rebounds, have been a key factor in their team's performance. However, the Sun's defensive struggles cannot be overlooked, as they allow 86.2 points per game, ranking eighth in the league. Despite this, their overall performance has been a testament to their ability to adapt and overcome challenges. The Mercury, on the other hand, are in a different predicament. With a 13th-place ranking in the league standings and a 10-16 record against the spread, they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak. The Mercury's recent form has been a cause for concern, with a 5-3 record in their last eight games, and they have struggled to cover the spread in their last three games against Eastern Conference opponents as favorites. Their defensive rating of 10th in the league and their ability to limit opponents to 87.6 points per game is a positive, but their offensive rating of 12th and their three-point percentage of 14th in the league are areas of improvement. The Mercury's star players, including Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas, will need to step up if they are to turn their fortunes around. The Sun's recent dominance over the Mercury, with a 7-2 record in their last nine games, and their ability to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games, makes them a strong favorite for this matchup. The Sun's momentum and the Mercury's struggles suggest that the Sun will continue their winning streak and secure their third straight victory over the Mercury. The best bet for this game is the Connecticut Sun's Moneyline (+150), as they are expected to take advantage of the Mercury's current form and secure a hard-fought win.

WNBA Preview: Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury - Who Will Win? (2026)

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